Technology
Will AI Take Your Job?
AI may not take the boss's chair first. It may take the first job you were hoping to get. This video shows what the research really says, what AI can and can't do, and three questions you can ask about your own job.
Key takeaways
- In US payroll data from Stanford, young people aged 22 to 25 fell about 11 percent in the jobs AI affects most, and rose about 10 percent in the jobs it affects less. This shows what happened; it does not prove AI is the cause.
- Serious researchers disagree. An LSE paper finds that remote work explains much of the fall in entry-level hiring, and the AI effect often shrinks to almost zero, while other payroll research still finds an AI effect.
- ATMs did not end teller jobs at first: fewer tellers per branch made more branches possible. But the US now projects teller jobs to fall 13 percent by 2035, so a job can change shape first and shrink later.
- AI can make people faster and still make them wrong. In a BCG study of 758 consultants, users were 25.1 percent faster on tasks AI does well, but correct answers fell about 19 points on a task outside its ability.
- In the ILO's figures for ASEAN, 22.9 percent of workers have more than minimal exposure and 3.3 percent are at the highest level. Exposure is not job loss, and these are regional numbers, not Cambodia's.
